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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Jul 23, 2022 at 7pm UK
Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
Penarol

Albion
1 - 3
Penarol

Neris (61' pen.)
Callorda (32'), Platero (35'), Ndong (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ramos (28'), Laquintana (76'), Saravia (86')
Arias (8'), Aguirregaray (32'), Musto (81'), Ceppelini (83'), Alonso (90+5')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Albion and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albion

Last Six:
Last Game: Liverpool 0-0 Albion
Tuesday, July 19 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Penarol

Last Six:
Last Game: Penarol 0-0 Rentistas
Wednesday, July 20 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 59.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Albion had a probability of 16.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.68%) and 1-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for an Albion win it was 1-0 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
AlbionDrawPenarol
16.11% (-0.113 -0.11) 24.17% (0.225 0.23) 59.72% (-0.112 -0.11)
Both teams to score 41.68% (-0.786 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.49% (-0.936 -0.94)57.51% (0.938 0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.7% (-0.748 -0.75)78.3% (0.749 0.75)
Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.53% (-0.714 -0.71)48.47% (0.71400000000001 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.43% (-0.522 -0.52)83.57% (0.524 0.52)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.89% (-0.39700000000001 -0.4)19.11% (0.398 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.27% (-0.662 -0.66)50.73% (0.662 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Albion 16.11%
    Penarol 59.71%
    Draw 24.17%
AlbionDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 6.71% (0.104 0.1)
2-1 @ 4.02% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 2.43% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 0.97% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 16.11%
1-1 @ 11.1% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.26% (0.326 0.33)
2-2 @ 3.33% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 24.17%
0-1 @ 15.32% (0.35 0.35)
0-2 @ 12.68% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-3 @ 7% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.07% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-4 @ 2.9% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.1% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-5 @ 0.96% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 59.71%

Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 11pm
Albion
1-1
Penarol
Callorda (45+2')
Correa (30'), Ibanez (70'), Platero (76'), Sencion (77'), Vargas (80'), Ancheta (90+3')
Ceppelini (13')
Bonifazi (45+1'), Arias (83'), Canobbio (88'), Gargano (90+3'), Menosse (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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