Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Jun 19, 2022 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
Maldonado1 - 3Penarol
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bentancourt (60'), Laquintana (74'), Ceppelini (88' pen.)
Musto (44'), Elizalde (45'), Dawson (90+3'), Menosse (90+3')
Elizalde (80')
Musto (44'), Elizalde (45'), Dawson (90+3'), Menosse (90+3')
Elizalde (80')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rentistas 1-1 Maldonado
Friday, June 10 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, June 10 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Liverpool | 17 | 12 | 33 |
3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 16 | 6 | 28 |
4 | Boston River | 16 | 4 | 28 |
Last Game: Penarol 1-2 Torque
Sunday, June 12 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, June 12 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Boston River | 16 | 4 | 28 |
5 | Penarol | 16 | 3 | 26 |
6 | Montevideo Wanderers | 17 | 6 | 25 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 45.36%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 26.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
Result | ||
Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Penarol |
26.15% ( 0.37) | 28.49% ( 0.29) | 45.36% ( -0.66) |
Both teams to score 43.09% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.5% ( -0.73) | 62.5% ( 0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.9% ( -0.54) | 82.1% ( 0.54) |
Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.51% ( -0.09) | 40.49% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.9% ( -0.08) | 77.1% ( 0.09) |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.41% ( -0.68) | 27.59% ( 0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.88% ( -0.89) | 63.12% ( 0.89) |
Score Analysis |
Deportivo Maldonado 26.15%
Penarol 45.35%
Draw 28.48%
Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Penarol |
1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 1.77% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.31% Total : 26.15% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.48% | 0-1 @ 14.38% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.71% Total : 45.35% |
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 9pm
Oct 17, 2021 7.30pm
Maldonado
1-0
Penarol
Ramos (26')
Lima (62'), Casas (76'), Conechny (81'), Darias (82'), Tealde (86'), Ramos (88')
Lima (62'), Casas (76'), Conechny (81'), Darias (82'), Tealde (86'), Ramos (88')
Jun 20, 2021 7.45pm
Penarol
4-0
Maldonado
Conechny (3'), Lima (60'), Gonzalez (67'), Ravecca (86')
Feb 11, 2021 11pm
Penarol
1-1
Maldonado
Cantera (69' pen.)
Tellechea (21'), Tealde (33'), Olivera (45+2'), Lerda (53'), Ravecca (60')
Olivera (52'), Ravecca (81')
Tellechea (21'), Tealde (33'), Olivera (45+2'), Lerda (53'), Ravecca (60')
Olivera (52'), Ravecca (81')
Nov 8, 2020 9pm
Penarol
4-1
Maldonado
Terans (3'), Britos (23', 58'), N. Olivera Moreira (90+4' og.)
Kagelmacher (28'), Estoyanoff (74'), Vadocz (89')
Kagelmacher (28'), Estoyanoff (74'), Vadocz (89')
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