Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Sep 28, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Cerro Largo3 - 1Cerro
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Cerro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rampla 2-0 Cerro Largo
Saturday, September 21 at 5.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, September 21 at 5.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: Cerro 0-5 Penarol
Sunday, September 22 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, September 22 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
29
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 35.97%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.09%) and 2-1 (7.03%). The likeliest Cerro win was 0-1 (13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Cerro |
35.97% ( 0.29) | 30.55% ( 0.12) | 33.48% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 40.66% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
