MX23RW : Wednesday, April 2 05:11:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Apr 15, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Fenix

Nacional
4 - 0
Fenix

Noguera (16'), Ramirez (18', 36' pen., 90+2')
Martinez (45+3'), Ramirez (51'), Candido (63')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Da Silveira (51'), Pereira (77'), Carlos (79')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Fenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Danubio 0-0 Nacional
Sunday, April 9 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fenix 0-0 River Plate
Saturday, April 8 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 17.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawFenix
59.12% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04) 23.55% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 17.32% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 45.53% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.4% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)53.6% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.9% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)75.1% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.13% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)17.87% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.36% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)48.63% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Fenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)44.56% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.42% (-0.0029999999999966 -0)80.58% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 59.12%
    Fenix 17.32%
    Draw 23.55%
NacionalDrawFenix
1-0 @ 13.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.8%
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 59.12%
1-1 @ 11.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.96% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 6.44% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 17.32%

Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 10pm
Fenix
1-1
Nacional
Fernandez (58')
Coelho (90+6')
Rodriguez (10')
May 9, 2022 11.30pm
Nacional
1-0
Fenix
Monzeglio (35' pen.)
Rodriguez (56'), Lozano (84'), Ramirez (87')

Schetino (45+2')
Oct 10, 2021 6.45pm
Fenix
1-2
Nacional
Soria Marichal (44' og.)
Alfaro (62'), Nunez (88')
Cantera (13'), Mendez (76')
Cantera (55'), Fernandez (88')
Jun 13, 2021 7.30pm
Nacional
3-1
Fenix
Bergessio (9', 19', 28')
Trezza (37'), Piriz (40'), Garcia (42'), Mendez (78')
Mendez (1' og.)
Pallas (51'), Argacha (70')
Feb 21, 2021 11pm
Nacional
2-2
Fenix
Martinez (10'), Ocampo (30')
Oliveros (82'), Garcia (90+3')
Franco (15', 76')
Kaique (67'), Nequecaur (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LiverpoolLiverpool96301771021
2Defensor SportingDefensor9522115617
3Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia9522106417
4Juventud95221512317
5Racing de MontevideoRacing9513106416
6Cerro Largo9351118314
7NacionalNacional93421713413
8CerroCerro934298113
9Montevideo City TorqueTorque92431015-510
10Boston RiverBoston River9234912-39
11PenarolPenarol9234812-49
12DanubioDanubio9081910-18
13Miramar Misiones9225913-48
14Montevideo WanderersWanderers9144911-27
15ProgresoProgreso91441019-97
16River PlateRiver Plate9036815-73


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