Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 64.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for La Luz had a probability of 14.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a La Luz win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	La Luz
64.2% ( -0.02)	21.35% ( 0.02)	14.44% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 45.81% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.14% (

-0.04)

49.86% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.14% (

-0.04)

71.85% (

0.04)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.15% (

-0.02)

14.84% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.83% (

-0.04)

43.16% (

0.04)

La Luz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.8% (

-0.02)

46.2% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.13% (

-0.01)

81.87% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Nacional 64.2%

La Luz 14.44%

Draw 21.35%

Nacional	Draw	La Luz
1-0 @ 13.08% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.47% 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.93% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.78% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.44% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 64.2%	1-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.35%	0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.9% 0-2 @ 2.05% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.24% Total : 14.44%