Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Apr 29, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional3 - 0La Luz
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and La Luz.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wanderers 0-1 Nacional
Tuesday, April 25 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Tuesday, April 25 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: La Luz 2-2 River Plate
Saturday, April 22 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, April 22 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 64.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for La Luz had a probability of 14.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a La Luz win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | La Luz |
64.2% ( -0.02) | 21.35% ( 0.02) | 14.44% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.81% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.14% ( -0.04) | 49.86% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.14% ( -0.04) | 71.85% ( 0.04) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.15% ( -0.02) | 14.84% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.83% ( -0.04) | 43.16% ( 0.04) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.8% ( -0.02) | 46.2% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.13% ( -0.01) | 81.87% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Nacional 64.2%
La Luz 14.44%
Draw 21.35%
| Nacional | Draw | La Luz |
| 1-0 @ 13.08% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.47% 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.93% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.78% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.44% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 64.2% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0)Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.35% | 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.9% 0-2 @ 2.05% ( 0)1-3 @ 1% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.24% Total : 14.44% |
