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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Apr 29, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
3 - 0
La Luz

Ramirez (26', 44'), Martinez (56' pen.)
Noguera (4'), Polenta (43'), Almeida (66'), Montiel (82'), Trezza (89'), Ramirez (90')
Almeida (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Scorza (52'), Schiappacasse (81'), Porcile (83'), Hernandez (85')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and La Luz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 0-1 Nacional
Tuesday, April 25 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

La Luz

All competitions
Last Game: La Luz 2-2 River Plate
Saturday, April 22 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 64.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for La Luz had a probability of 14.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a La Luz win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawLa Luz
64.2% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 21.35% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 14.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 45.81% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.14% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)49.86% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.14% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)71.85% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.15% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)14.84% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.83% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)43.16% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
La Luz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.8% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)46.2% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.13% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)81.87% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 64.2%
    La Luz 14.44%
    Draw 21.35%
NacionalDrawLa Luz
1-0 @ 13.08% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 12.47%
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 7.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.13% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.78% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.44% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 64.2%
1-1 @ 10.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 21.35%
0-1 @ 5.3% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.9%
0-2 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 14.44%

rhs 2.0
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FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1NacionalNacional13102134102432
2PenarolPenarol1310212432132
3Boston RiverBoston River138231710726
4DanubioDanubio13661134924
5Racing de MontevideoRacing13562129321
6Defensor SportingDefensor135441714319
7Miramar Misiones134631113-218
8Cerro Largo134451010016
9River PlateRiver Plate134361418-415
10Rampla JuniorsRampla134361117-615
11FenixFenix134271223-1114
12Montevideo WanderersWanderers133461219-713
13LiverpoolLiverpool132651115-412
14CerroCerro13265816-812
15ProgresoProgreso13157717-108
16Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado130310722-153
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


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