Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Mar 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli
Cerro2 - 2Nacional
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 3-2 Cerro
Saturday, February 25 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, February 25 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 3-1 Racing
Sunday, February 26 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, February 26 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 56.8%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 18.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.86%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cerro | Draw | Nacional |
18.16% ( 0.63) | 25.04% ( 0.35) | 56.8% ( -0.98) |
Both teams to score 43% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |