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Liverpool (Uruguay)
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Sep 15, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Belvedere
Penarol

Liverpool
0 - 1
Penarol


Lemos (5'), Diaz (29'), Cougo (67')
Prado (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mansilla (89')
Menosse (5'), Lozano (29'), Rak (79'), Bentancourt (89'), Busquets (90+5'), (90+5')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Liverpool and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

Last Six:
Last Game: Liverpool 3-0 Cerrito
Friday, September 9 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Penarol

Last Six:
Last Game: Penarol 2-2 Rentistas
Sunday, September 11 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 36.2%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.

Result
LiverpoolDrawPenarol
35.98% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 27.82% (0.152 0.15) 36.2% (-0.11 -0.11)
Both teams to score 48.34% (-0.476 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.43% (-0.588 -0.59)57.57% (0.586 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.65% (-0.469 -0.47)78.35% (0.467 0.47)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.46% (-0.31999999999999 -0.32)30.54% (0.318 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.24% (-0.38 -0.38)66.76% (0.378 0.38)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.6% (-0.363 -0.36)30.4% (0.361 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.4% (-0.432 -0.43)66.6% (0.431 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 35.98%
    Penarol 36.2%
    Draw 27.82%
LiverpoolDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 11.01% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.53% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 35.98%
1-1 @ 13.11% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.28% (0.205 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.82%
0-1 @ 11.05% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 7.81% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.58% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.1% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.61% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 36.2%

Head to Head
Jun 26, 2022 10pm
Penarol
0-1
Liverpool

Rossi (43'), Lopez (51'), Da Silveira (90+2')
Gonzalez (83')
Perez (38'), Sosa (73')
Apr 9, 2022 8pm
Penarol
2-1
Liverpool
Ceppelini (52'), Laquintana (90+6')
Mansilla (9'), Carrizo (64'), Alvarez (66')
Medina (71')
Cayetano (26'), Rodriguez Elduayen (43'), Medina (45+1'), Diaz (59')
Diaz (90+8')
Nov 7, 2021 10pm
Penarol
1-0
Liverpool
Ceppelini (45+3' pen.)
Alvarez (66'), Gonzalez (69'), (85')

Pintos (4'), Perez (62'), Martirena (73')
Jul 25, 2021 7pm
Liverpool
3-3
Penarol
Martinez (14'), Fernandez (41'), Medina (54')
Garcia (26'), Perez (67'), Lentinelly (69'), Diaz (86')
Ceppelini (60' pen., 90+3'), Alvarez (65')
Canobbio (61'), Ceppelini (62'), Alvarez (88')
Feb 26, 2021 8pm
Liverpool
1-1
Penarol
Ignacio Ramirez (51')
Romero (11'), Perez (31'), Diaz (60')
Torres (35')
Gonzalez (50')
rhs 2.0
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