Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Montevideo would win this match.