Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jul 9, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Centenario
Racing2 - 2Nacional
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Racing de Montevideo and Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fenix 3-0 Racing
Sunday, July 2 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, July 2 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Nacional 4-1 Plaza Colonia
Wednesday, July 5 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Wednesday, July 5 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 1-2 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Nacional |
26.2% ( -0.07) | 27.75% ( -0.05) | 46.04% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 45.01% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.93% ( 0.13) | 60.07% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.71% ( 0.1) | 80.29% ( -0.1) |
Racing de Montevideo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.92% ( 0.01) | 39.08% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.2% ( 0.01) | 75.8% ( -0.02) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.89% ( 0.12) | 26.11% ( -0.12) |