River Plate

3 - 1

Wanderers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.