Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2

Feb 23, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel

River Plate
3 - 1
Maldonado

Correa (44'), Cruz De los Santos (65'), Rodriguez (86')
Salaberry (40'), Almeida (45+1'), Barboza (45+1'), Fernandez (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

de Leon (51')
Cantera (61'), Noble (68'), Menosse (90+7')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Deportivo Maldonado.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions

Last Game: Nacional 2-1 River Plate
Friday, February 16 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions

Last Game: Maldonado 1-2 Boston River
Sunday, February 18 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Deportivo Maldonado
40.41% ( 0.42)	27.97% ( -0.07)	31.62% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 47.2% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.32% (

0.17)

58.68% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.78% (

0.13)

79.22% (

-0.13)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.55% (

0.32)

28.45% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.79% (

0.4)

64.21% (

-0.4)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.96% (

-0.16)

34.04% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.28% (

-0.17)

70.72% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

River Plate 40.41%

Deportivo Maldonado 31.61%

Draw 27.97%

River Plate	Draw	Deportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.72% Total : 40.41%	1-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.97%	0-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 31.61%