Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2

Feb 11, 2023 at 8pm UK

Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

River Plate
2 - 0
Plaza Colonia

Rivero (27'), Dos Santos (88')
Rivero (44'), Gargano (51'), Alfonso (79')
Rivero (52')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Olivera (45'), Redin (55'), Villalba (85')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Plaza Colonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions

Last Game: Cerro Largo 2-1 River Plate
Saturday, February 4 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Plaza Colonia

All competitions

Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-1 Maldonado
Monday, February 6 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 41.04%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 29.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.33%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Plaza Colonia
41.04% ( -0.64)	29.57% ( 1.31)	29.38% ( -0.67)

Both teams to score 42.13% (

-3.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.42% (

-4.46)

64.58% (

4.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.4% (

-3.27)

83.59% (

3.27)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69% (

-2.57)

30.99% (

2.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.7% (

-3.12)

67.3% (

3.12)

Plaza Colonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.05% (

-2.99)

38.95% (

2.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.32% (

-2.93)

75.67% (

2.93)

Score Analysis

River Plate 41.04%

Plaza Colonia 29.38%

Draw 29.57%

River Plate	Draw	Plaza Colonia
1-0 @ 14.14% ( 1.29) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.46) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.42) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.34) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.04%	1-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 12.07% ( 1.85) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.55) Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.57%	0-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.93) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.44) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.32) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.29) Other @ 1.53% Total : 29.38%