Two teams with eyes on a top-seven finish in La Liga this season will lock horns at Mestalla on Saturday evening, as Valencia welcome Osasuna.
Valencia are currently ninth in the table, four points behind seventh-placed Villarreal, while Osasuna sit 10th, just one point behind their opponent in this weekend's contest.
Match preview
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Valencia will again fall short this season in terms of European qualification, as they are 12 points behind sixth-placed Real Sociedad and some 15 behind fourth-placed Atletico Madrid on the same number of games (31).
A top-seven finish would be a step in the right direction for Los Che, though, especially as two disappointing campaigns have seen them finish ninth and 13th since claiming fourth in 2018-19.
Valencia are also chasing silverware in the Copa del Rey this season, preparing to take on Real Betis in the final of the competition on April 22, and a strong end to their league campaign, coupled with Copa del Rey success, would certainly leave the fans feeling confident ahead of next term.
Jose Bordalas's side, who are ninth in the table on 42 points, are actually unbeaten in their last six league matches, posting three wins and three draws during that run, including draws in their last two against Cadiz and Rayo Vallecano.
Valencia recorded a 4-1 victory over Osasuna in the reverse match between the two sides earlier this season, but the pair played out a 1-1 draw in the corresponding fixture at Mestalla last term.
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Osasuna, meanwhile, are targeting their highest finish at this level of football since claiming seventh in 2011-12, with a total of 41 points from 31 matches leaving them 10th in the table.
Los Rojillos, who finished 11th last season, are only five points behind seventh-placed Villarreal, and a solid run of form in Spain's top flight has seen them pick up nine points from the last 15 available.
Osasuna have suffered heavy defeats to Barcelona and Real Betis in their last two away matches but have won each of their last three league fixtures in front of their own supporters. Interestingly, though, the team still have the seventh-best away record in Spain's top flight this term, claiming 20 points from 15 matches.
Jagoba Arrasate's side are also among the lowest scorers in La Liga this term, finding the back of the net on just 31 occasions, with only Getafe (28), Mallorca (27), Cadiz (26) and Alaves (24) boasting inferior records when it comes to goals in Spain's top flight in 2021-22.
Osasuna's fixture list for the rest of the season is relatively kind, so a top-seven finish could be a real possibility, although their next match after this one is at home to the leaders Real Madrid.
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Team News
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Valencia will be boosted by the return of Mouctar Diakhaby from suspension, and the 25-year-old is expected to be named in the starting side on Saturday evening.
Toni Lato and Maxi Gomez are still on the sidelines through injury, though, while Yunus Musah is likely to miss out with the groin problem that he picked up in the 1-1 draw with Rayo.
Head coach Bordalas is expected to make changes from Monday's affair, with Marcos Andre, Dimitri Foulquier and Uros Racic all pushing for spots in the starting lineup.
As for Osasuna, Juan Cruz, Jesus Areso, Kike and Unai Garcia have all been ruled out of the contest through injury.
Head coach Arrasate is unlikely to make many changes to the side that started against basement side Alaves last time out, with a 4-3-3 formation again set to include Ruben Garcia, Chimy Avila and Ante Budimir in the final third of the field.
Roberto Torres, Kike Barja and Javi Martinez are among those pushing for starting roles, but all three are again expected to be on the bench, with Inigo Perez retaining his spot in central midfield.
Valencia possible starting lineup:
Mamardashvili; Correia, Paulista, Diakhaby, Gaya; Foulquier, Soler, Guillamon, Racic, Andre; Guedes
Osasuna possible starting lineup:
Herrera; Vidal, Aridane, D Garcia, Cote; Moncayola, Torro, Perez; Avila, Budimir, R Garcia
We say: Valencia 2-1 Osasuna
This has all of the makings of a very interesting game of football, and both teams will believe that they can cause problems in the final third of the field. It would not be a surprise to see a draw at Mestalla, but we just have a feeling that Valencia will do enough to put another three points on the board.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
