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Valencia logo
La Liga | Gameweek 35
Jul 7, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Mestalla
Real Valladolid logo

Valencia
2 - 1
Real Valladolid

Gomez (30'), Kang-in (89')
Guerrero (71'), Kondogbia (75'), Guedes (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Garcia (47')

Preview: Valencia vs. Real Valladolid - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Real Valladolid, including team news and predicted lineups.

Valencia will be looking to end a four-game winless run in La Liga when they welcome Real Valladolid to the Mestalla on Tuesday night.

Los Che have only picked up one point from their their last four matches, but Valladolid are unbeaten in their last four and will enter this game off the back of a 1-0 win over Alaves.


Match preview

Valencia's Maxi Gomez pictured on November 5, 2019© Reuters

Valencia relieved Albert Celades of his managerial duties following the 2-0 defeat at Villarreal on June 28, with Voro placed in charge of the club on an interim basis for the remainder of the campaign.

Voro could not prevent Los Che from losing 2-0 at home to Athletic Bilbao on July 1, but the former Spanish champions did pick up a point away to Granada on Saturday.

Valencia actually led 2-1 against Granada entering the final stages of the contest at Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes, but the home side scored in the 86th minute to claim a point in a 2-2 draw.

Los Che have actually finished fourth in each of their last two La Liga seasons but are currently battling for a top-half finish, occupying ninth position in the table as things stand.

Valencia are actually only five points off sixth-placed Getafe, though, and could yet push for a Europa League finish if they manage to enjoy a strong end to the campaign.

Atletico Madrid's Hector Herrera in action with Real Valladolid's Mohammed Salisu in La Liga on October 6, 2019© Reuters

Valladolid, meanwhile, have been in relatively good form since returning to action after the lockdown period, winning two of their seven matches, suffering just one defeat in the process.

Sergio Gonzalez's side are currently on a four-game unbeaten run in Spain's top flight and will enter Tuesday's match off the back of a 1-0 victory over Alaves on Saturday.

Valladolid finished 16th in La Liga last season on their return to the top flight, but they are currently 13th in the table, which would certainly represent an impressive position for the club.

Pucela's away record this season is fairly strong, meanwhile, losing just eight of their 17 La Liga matches on their travels, picking up a respectable 17 points in the process.

Valencia La Liga form: LWLLLD

Valladolid La Liga form: DLDDDW


Team News

Valencia's Rodrigo Moreno celebrates scoring their first goal on September 17, 2019© Reuters

Jose Gaya and Cristiano Piccini remain on the sidelines for Valencia through injury, while experienced defender Ezequiel Garay has left the club following the expiration of his contract.

Los Che are also expected to be without Rodrigo Moreno for the remainder of the season with a knee injury, but Ferran Torres should be available after missing out against Granada with a thigh issue.

There are expected to be changes from the side that started on Saturday, with Maxi Gomez, Geoffrey Kondogbia and Mouctar Diakhaby all likely to return to the side.

As for Valladolid, Oscar Plano is suspended due to the yellow card that he picked up against Alaves, while Jose Antonio Caro, Matheus Fernandes, Pedro Porro and Sandro Ramirez are all injured.

Enes Unal started on the bench at the weekend, but the number nine is expected to return to the attack alongside Sergi Guardiola, while Waldo Rubio is also pushing for a spot in the XI.

Valencia possible starting lineup:
Cillessen; Wass, Gabriel, Diakhaby, Costa; Soler, Parejo, Kondogbia, Torres; Gameiro, Gomez

Valladolid possible starting lineup:
Masip; Moyano, Joaquin, Sanchez, R Garcia; Hervias, Fede, Alcaraz, Suarez; Guardiola, Unal


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Valencia 1-0 Real Valladolid

Valencia played much better against Granada on Saturday but will be determined to return to winning ways as soon as possible. Valladolid's recent form cannot be ignored; Los Che are certainly due a victory, though, and we fancy them to secure all three points on Tuesday night.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 45.74%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 26.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.


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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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