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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Mar 28, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
P-P
Connah's Quay

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%).

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
32.53%26.03%41.43%
Both teams to score 53.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.09%50.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.21%72.78%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.56%29.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.56%65.43%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.69%24.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.31%58.68%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 32.53%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 41.42%
    Draw 26.02%
Caernarfon TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 8.75%
2-1 @ 7.57%
2-0 @ 5.35%
3-1 @ 3.09%
3-2 @ 2.18%
3-0 @ 2.18%
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 32.53%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 7.15%
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 10.11%
1-2 @ 8.75%
0-2 @ 7.16%
1-3 @ 4.13%
0-3 @ 3.37%
2-3 @ 2.52%
1-4 @ 1.46%
0-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 41.42%

Head to Head
Feb 14, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Connah's Quay
4-0
Caernarfon
Horan (2', 23'), Curran (76'), Bakare (84')
(59')

Craig (8'), (38')
Oct 15, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Connah's Quay
4-2
Caernarfon
Wilde (7'), Poole (52'), Insall (56', 66')
Brookwell (8'), Bradley (57')
Aug 23, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Caernarfon
0-0
Connah's Quay
Thomas (50'), Edwards (76'), Williams (92')
Harrison (19')
Apr 5, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Caernarfon
1-0
Connah's Quay
Evans (18')

Parker (55'), Owens (72')
Feb 8, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Connah's Quay
6-2
Caernarfon
Morris (9', 29' pen., 33' pen.), Barton (72'), Wilde (82'), Bakare (84')
Morris (23'), Owens (75'), Owen (92')
Horan (87')
Craig (23' pen.), Jones (55')
Edwards (28'), Roberts (32')
rhs 2.0
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