Caernarfon

1 - 1

Pen-y-Bont

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.