MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 15:05:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
1 - 1
New Saints

Horan (50')
Morris (60'), Bratley (88')
Wilde (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dafydd (90+5')
Pask (26'), Brobbel (32')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Connah's Quay 3-0 Aberystwyth
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 11-0 Aberystwyth
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawThe New Saints
28.76% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08) 26.64% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 44.6% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.8% (-0.156 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.24% (-0.176 -0.18)54.76% (0.173 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.93% (-0.145 -0.15)76.07% (0.14399999999999 0.14)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.9% (-0.155 -0.16)34.1% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.22% (-0.168 -0.17)70.78% (0.16499999999999 0.16)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.56% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)24.43% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.13% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)58.87% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 28.76%
    The New Saints 44.6%
    Draw 26.64%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawThe New Saints
1-0 @ 8.96% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.8% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.82% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.73% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 28.76%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.33% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.64%
0-1 @ 11.74% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.27% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.89% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.47% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 44.6%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2022 7.45pm
New Saints
2-1
Connah's Quay
McManus (42'), Routledge (80')
Davies (78'), Clark (86')
Wilde (39')
Stratulis (21'), Horan (81')
Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
0-3
New Saints

Bradley (44')
Robles (56', 72'), Astles (70')
Davies (77')
Jan 21, 2022 7.45pm
New Saints
3-1
Connah's Quay
McManus (12', 49' pen.), Clark (27')
Redmond (68'), Robles (77')
Disney (47' pen.)
Disney (17'), Holmes (49')
Oct 9, 2021 12.45pm
Connah's Quay
0-1
New Saints

Horan (25'), Disney (49'), Mullan (59')
Horan (89')
McManus (58' pen.)
Davies (18'), Cieslewicz (81'), McManus (82'), Robles (86')
Davies (89')
May 1, 2021 5.15pm
Connah's Quay
0-0
New Saints

Horan (33'), Insall (75')

Davies (48'), Routledge (48'), Redmond (90+2')
Redmond (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints15110442172533
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Briton Ferry1532101830-1211
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!