MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 15:35:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
3 - 0
Aberystwyth

Franklin (7'), Wilde (90', 90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thorn (28'), Evans (76')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Airbus UK 1-2 Connah's Quay
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 11-0 Aberystwyth
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 77.94%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 7.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.46%) and 1-0 (11.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawAberystwyth Town
77.94% (0.48 0.48) 14.75% (-0.26 -0.26) 7.31% (-0.22 -0.22)
Both teams to score 41.97% (-0.181 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.28% (0.39599999999999 0.4)40.72% (-0.39599999999999 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.9% (0.403 0.4)63.1% (-0.405 -0.41)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.44% (0.205 0.2)8.56% (-0.2061 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.4% (0.502 0.5)29.6% (-0.504 -0.5)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.9% (-0.301 -0.3)54.1% (0.3 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.66% (-0.188 -0.19)87.33% (0.188 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 77.93%
    Aberystwyth Town 7.31%
    Draw 14.75%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawAberystwyth Town
2-0 @ 13.99% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 11.46% (0.13 0.13)
1-0 @ 11.38% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 7.05% (0.144 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.04% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.33% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
5-0 @ 3.46% (0.103 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.13% (0.045 0.04)
6-0 @ 1.42% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 77.93%
1-1 @ 6.99% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.63% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-2 @ 2.64% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 14.75%
0-1 @ 2.85% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-2 @ 2.15% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 7.31%

Head to Head
Sep 16, 2022 8pm
Aberystwyth
2-1
Connah's Quay
Arnison (54'), Thorn (82')
Litchfield (67' og.)
Bratley (61')
Apr 23, 2022 12.45pm
Aberystwyth
1-1
Connah's Quay
Allen (76')
Thorn (61')
Curran (39')
Eardley (90+2')
Dec 3, 2021 8pm
Aberystwyth
0-1
Connah's Quay

Owen (45'), Veale (52'), Franklin (57'), Rimmer (87')
Mendes (31')
Mendes (52'), Byrne (81'), Horan (87'), Poole (90')
Aug 20, 2021 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
1-0
Aberystwyth
Curran (30')

Thorn (39'), Franklin (55'), Rimmer (85')
Dec 4, 2020 7.45pm
Aberystwyth
1-3
Connah's Quay
Hewitt (54' pen.)
Evans (90')
Jones (60')
Davies (22'), Wilde (81', 83')
Roberts (26'), Curran (51'), Morris (53'), Edwards (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913


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