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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
3 - 0
Aberystwyth

Franklin (7'), Wilde (90', 90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thorn (28'), Evans (76')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Airbus UK 1-2 Connah's Quay
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 11-0 Aberystwyth
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 77.94%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 7.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.46%) and 1-0 (11.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawAberystwyth Town
77.94% (0.48 0.48) 14.75% (-0.26 -0.26) 7.31% (-0.22 -0.22)
Both teams to score 41.97% (-0.181 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.28% (0.39599999999999 0.4)40.72% (-0.39599999999999 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.9% (0.403 0.4)63.1% (-0.405 -0.41)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.44% (0.205 0.2)8.56% (-0.2061 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.4% (0.502 0.5)29.6% (-0.504 -0.5)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.9% (-0.301 -0.3)54.1% (0.3 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.66% (-0.188 -0.19)87.33% (0.188 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 77.93%
    Aberystwyth Town 7.31%
    Draw 14.75%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawAberystwyth Town
2-0 @ 13.99% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 11.46% (0.13 0.13)
1-0 @ 11.38% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 7.05% (0.144 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.04% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.33% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
5-0 @ 3.46% (0.103 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.13% (0.045 0.04)
6-0 @ 1.42% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 77.93%
1-1 @ 6.99% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.63% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-2 @ 2.64% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 14.75%
0-1 @ 2.85% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-2 @ 2.15% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 7.31%

Head to Head
Sep 16, 2022 8pm
Aberystwyth
2-1
Connah's Quay
Arnison (54'), Thorn (82')
Litchfield (67' og.)
Bratley (61')
Apr 23, 2022 12.45pm
Aberystwyth
1-1
Connah's Quay
Allen (76')
Thorn (61')
Curran (39')
Eardley (90+2')
Dec 3, 2021 8pm
Aberystwyth
0-1
Connah's Quay

Owen (45'), Veale (52'), Franklin (57'), Rimmer (87')
Mendes (31')
Mendes (52'), Byrne (81'), Horan (87'), Poole (90')
Aug 20, 2021 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
1-0
Aberystwyth
Curran (30')

Thorn (39'), Franklin (55'), Rimmer (85')
Dec 4, 2020 7.45pm
Aberystwyth
1-3
Connah's Quay
Hewitt (54' pen.)
Evans (90')
Jones (60')
Davies (22'), Wilde (81', 83')
Roberts (26'), Curran (51'), Morris (53'), Edwards (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
3Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
4Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
5Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


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