Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 74.03%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 9.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.34%) and 0-3 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for an Airbus UK Broughton win it was 1-0 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.