Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 67.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 12.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.22%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 1-0 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
