Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 63.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 16.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 1-0 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
