Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 73.03%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Druids had a probability of 10.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Druids win it was 0-1 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.