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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
May 4, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Latham Park

Newtown
2 - 3
Cardiff MU

Ofori (1'), Rushton (66' pen.)
Fletcher (32'), Roberts (44'), Mills-Evans (53'), Ofori (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rees (5'), Hulbert (54'), Evans (77' pen.)
Baker (42'), Lewis (60'), Woolridge (86')
Lewis (66')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Cardiff MU.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawCardiff MU
47.16%23.94%28.89%
Both teams to score 58.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.65%43.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.26%65.74%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.45%18.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.21%49.79%
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.9%28.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.23%63.76%
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 47.16%
    Cardiff MU 28.89%
    Draw 23.93%
Newtown AFCDrawCardiff MU
2-1 @ 9.39%
1-0 @ 8.78%
2-0 @ 7.4%
3-1 @ 5.27%
3-0 @ 4.15%
3-2 @ 3.35%
4-1 @ 2.22%
4-0 @ 1.75%
4-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 47.16%
1-1 @ 11.14%
2-2 @ 5.96%
0-0 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 7.08%
0-1 @ 6.62%
0-2 @ 4.2%
1-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 1.78%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 28.89%

Head to Head
Apr 13, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Cardiff MU
2-2
Newtown
Baker (22'), Warman (57')
Warman (64'), Woolridge (80')
Mills-Evans (14'), Mwandwe (42')
Ofori (53'), Evans (84'), Davies (90+1')
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Newtown
4-1
Cardiff MU
Ofori (5', 28'), Evans (57', 69')
Mwandwe (36'), Hughes (63'), O'Neill (79')
Woolridge (21')
Rees (41'), Lewis (52'), Evans (56'), Price (63')
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Cardiff MU
2-1
Newtown
Evans (4', 10')
Lewis (67'), Black (69'), Hulbert (77'), Owen (90')
Kelly (7')
McAllister (29'), Jones (60'), Williams (68')
Oct 25, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Newtown
1-0
Cardiff MU
Kenton (70')
Jones (90'), Flint (94')

Evans (92')
Aug 30, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Cardiff MU
1-0
Newtown
Evans (62')
Evans (52'), Evans (58'), Lam (91')

Fletcher (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints15110442172533
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Briton Ferry1532101830-1211
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510


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