Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 53.48%. A win for Druids had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Druids win was 2-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.