Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 54.83%. A win for Druids had a probability of 22.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Druids win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.