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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
3 - 2
Haverfordwest

Kavanagh (15'), Reffell (49'), Reynolds (72')
Borge (16')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fawcett (18'), Humphreys (88')
Jenkins (38')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

Last Six:
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 2-1 Flint Town
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Haverfordwest County

Last Six:
Last Game: Haverfordwest 3-0 Airbus UK
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawHaverfordwest County
42.33% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01) 24.95% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 32.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.1% (0.002999999999993 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.84% (0.0039999999999978 0)46.16% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.2% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)21.8% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)55.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)26.99% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.67% (0.009999999999998 0.01)62.34% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 42.33%
    Haverfordwest County 32.72%
    Draw 24.94%
Pen-y-BontDrawHaverfordwest County
1-0 @ 8.96% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.32%
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 42.33%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 5.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 7.71%
1-2 @ 7.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 32.72%

Head to Head
Jan 28, 2022 7.45pm
Haverfordwest
2-2
Pen-y-Bont
Watts (7'), Touray Sisay (80')
Rees (42'), Rees (88'), Richards (88')
Ahmun (12'), Owen (43')
Morris (44'), Davies (72'), Evans (88')
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
Pen-y-Bont
2-1
Haverfordwest
Wood (54'), Borge (74')
Waite (38'), Owen (62'), Evans (75')
Touray Sisay (90+3')
Patten (49')
Apr 2, 2021 5pm
Pen-y-Bont
2-0
Haverfordwest
Snaith (45+1'), Davies (60')
Jefferies (21'), Georgievsky (55')

Summerfield (90')
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
Haverfordwest
0-4
Pen-y-Bont

Fawcett (25')
Jefferies (26'), Dalton (41'), Griffiths (81', 88')
Davies (33'), Harling (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints30240684295572
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont30187551282361
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest301311637221550
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon30136115047345
5Cardiff MUCardiff MU30127114143-243
6Bala TownBala Town30713103439-534
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry30137104851-346
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay301251346321441
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town30113164261-1936
4Briton Ferry3095164558-1332
5Newtown AFCNewtown3068163458-2426
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth3052232468-4417
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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