Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 48.23%. A win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Airbus UK Broughton win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.
-0.46) 
0.53) 
