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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest
1 - 0
Caernarfon

Davies (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wynne (52')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Haverfordwest County

Last Six:
    Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-2 Cardiff MU
    Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

    Caernarfon Town

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Flint Town
      Saturday, May 14 at 2pm in Welsh Premier League

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 56.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 20.32%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Haverfordwest County in this match.

      Result
      Haverfordwest CountyDrawCaernarfon Town
      56.46% (0.10700000000001 0.11) 23.22% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 20.32% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
      Both teams to score 51.53% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      51.77% (0.165 0.16)48.23% (-0.163 -0.16)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      29.62% (0.15 0.15)70.39% (-0.149 -0.15)
      Haverfordwest County Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      83.12% (0.097999999999999 0.1)16.88% (-0.098000000000003 -0.1)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      53.09% (0.173 0.17)46.91% (-0.172 -0.17)
      Caernarfon Town Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      61.99% (0.039999999999999 0.04)38.01% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      25.22% (0.039999999999999 0.04)74.78% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
      Score Analysis
          Haverfordwest County 56.45%
          Caernarfon Town 20.32%
          Draw 23.22%
      Haverfordwest CountyDrawCaernarfon Town
      1-0 @ 11.41% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
      2-0 @ 10.15%
      2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
      3-0 @ 6.02% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
      3-1 @ 5.82% (0.023 0.02)
      3-2 @ 2.82% (0.014 0.01)
      4-0 @ 2.68% (0.017 0.02)
      4-1 @ 2.59% (0.018 0.02)
      4-2 @ 1.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
      5-0 @ 0.95% (0.009 0.01)
      5-1 @ 0.92% (0.01 0.01)
      Other @ 2.01%
      Total : 56.45%
      		1-1 @ 11.04% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
      0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.044 -0.04)
      2-2 @ 4.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
      3-3 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
      Other @ 0.11%
      Total : 23.22%
      		0-1 @ 6.21% (-0.035 -0.04)
      1-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
      0-2 @ 3% (-0.014 -0.01)
      1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
      2-3 @ 1.53% (0.004 0)
      0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
      Other @ 1.55%
      Total : 20.32%

      Head to Head
      Mar 26, 2022 3pm
      Haverfordwest
      0-0
      Caernarfon

      Shepherd (5'), Williams (33'), Rees (90+3')

      Disney (12'), Holmes (32'), Horan (42'), Owens (83')
      Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
      Haverfordwest
      1-2
      Caernarfon
      Jones-Thomas (68')
      Rees (42'), Patten (63')
      Edwards (30'), Jones (61')
      Gosset (35'), Evans (45'), Edwards (64'), Ojrzynski (85')
      Aug 14, 2021 5.15pm
      Caernarfon
      2-0
      Haverfordwest
      Gosset (74'), Jones (90+4')
      Hughes (32'), Simpson (42'), Thomas (66')

      Shepherd (59'), Jones (72'), Summerfield (90+4')
      Nov 28, 2020 2.30pm
      Caernarfon
      1-4
      Haverfordwest
      Edwards (25')
      Kenny (39'), Thomas (68'), Edwards (70')
      Tibbetts (7')
      Wilson (29'), Fawcett (37', 56'), Griffiths (87')
      Fawcett (35')
      Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
      Haverfordwest
      1-1
      Caernarfon

      (42'), (90+2')
      Hayes (74')
      Williams (29'), (64'), Tibbetts (82')
      rhs 2.0
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      > View full version> Yesterday's results
      Tables header RHS
      TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
      1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
      2The New SaintsNew Saints14110341142733
      3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
      4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
      5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
      6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
      7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
      8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
      9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
      10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
      11Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510
      12Briton Ferry1422101529-148
      > Welsh Premier League Full Table


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