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Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 22, 2022 at 8pm UK
Wheatsheaf Park

Chelsea Women
3 - 0
PSG

Kerr (42'), James (55', 62')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Champions League clash between Chelsea Women and Paris Saint-Germain Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vllaznia 0-4 Chelsea Women
Friday, December 16 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: PSG 2-1 Real Madrid
Friday, December 16 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Chelsea Women 2-1 Paris Saint-Germain Women

Although PSG are unbeaten in 10 games, we think that they will be edged out by a Chelsea side that have won all seven of their competitive home games this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain Women had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawParis Saint-Germain Women
47.75% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03) 24.76% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 27.49% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.78% (-0.105 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.14% (-0.139 -0.14)47.86% (0.138 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.96% (-0.127 -0.13)70.04% (0.126 0.13)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.91% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)20.09% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.66% (-0.108 -0.11)52.34% (0.106 0.11)
Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.56% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)31.44% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)67.82% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 47.74%
    Paris Saint-Germain Women 27.49%
    Draw 24.76%
Chelsea WomenDrawParis Saint-Germain Women
1-0 @ 10.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 8.14% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 47.74%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.32% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.76%
0-1 @ 7.31% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.23% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 27.49%

How you voted: Chelsea Women vs PSG

Chelsea Women
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
Paris Saint-Germain Women
8.3%
36
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2022 8pm
rhs 2.0
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4Chelsea6411157813
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