MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 21:39:57| >> :600:59999534:59999534:
France national football team
Women's European Championship | Group Stage
Jul 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium

France Women
5 - 1
Italy Women

Geyoro (9', 40', 45'), Katoto (12'), Cascarino (38')
FT(HT: 5-0)
Piemonte (76')
Boattin (16'), Simonetti (52'), Gama (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's European Championship clash between France Women and Italy Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: France Women 1-2 USA Women
Friday, June 28 at 8pm in Women's World Cup
Last Six:
Last Game: Italy Women 0-2 N'lands Women
Saturday, June 29 at 2pm in Women's World Cup

We said: France Women 2-1 Italy Women

Although Italy demonstrated against Spain that they can compete with the best in Europe, we think that they will come up just short against a France side that contains a number of quality players that could help them reach the latter stages of the tournament. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Women win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Italy Women had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a France Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.71%) and 2-0 (5.17%). The likeliest Italy Women win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France Women would win this match.

Result
France WomenDrawItaly Women
46.24% (0.0030000000000001 0) 21.44% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03) 32.33% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 69.98% (0.15900000000001 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.75% (0.199 0.2)29.26% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.71% (0.23800000000001 0.24)50.29% (-0.233 -0.23)
France Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.51% (0.076999999999998 0.08)13.5% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.48% (0.147 0.15)40.52% (-0.142 -0.14)
Italy Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.9% (0.11499999999999 0.11)19.1% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.28% (0.188 0.19)50.72% (-0.181 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    France Women 46.24%
    Italy Women 32.33%
    Draw 21.44%
France WomenDrawItaly Women
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 5.17% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-0 @ 5.16% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 4.73% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.37% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.31% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.006 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.95% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 46.24%
1-1 @ 8.55% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 7.08% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.61% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.58% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 21.44%
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.27% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.91% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.9% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.53% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.62% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.08% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 32.33%

How you voted: France Women vs Italy Women

France Women
87.3%
Draw
9.1%
Italy Women
3.6%
55
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!