MX23RW : Thursday, September 12 15:09:39| >> :600:53755316:53755316:
Euro 2022 Header WWW 2

Euro 2022
Women's European Championship | Group Stage
Jul 14, 2022 at 5pm UK
Academy Stadium

Italy Women
1 - 1
Iceland Women

Bergamaschi (62')
Bergamaschi (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lea Vilhjalmsdottir (3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's European Championship clash between Italy Women and Iceland Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Italy Women

Last Six:
Last Game: France Women 5-1 Italy Women
Sunday, July 10 at 8pm in Women's European Championship

Iceland Women

Last Six:
Last Game: Belgium Women 1-1 Iceland Women
Sunday, July 10 at 5pm in Women's European Championship

We said: Italy Women 2-1 Iceland Women

 In the last six editions of the European Championships, Italy have won at least one match at each tournament, and we think that they pick themselves up from the defeat to France to edge out Iceland on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Women win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Iceland Women had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Iceland Women win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Italy WomenDrawIceland Women
42.08% (-0.073 -0.07) 23.78% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 34.13% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 61.73% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.7% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)40.3% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.32% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)62.68% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Italy Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.55% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)19.45% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.71% (-0.07 -0.07)51.29% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Iceland Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.63% (0.021000000000001 0.02)23.36% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.66% (0.033000000000001 0.03)57.33% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Italy Women 42.08%
    Iceland Women 34.13%
    Draw 23.78%
Italy WomenDrawIceland Women
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.09% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.83% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.33% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 42.08%
1-1 @ 10.81%
2-2 @ 6.44%
0-0 @ 4.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 7.86% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.61% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.8% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.81% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 34.13%

How you voted: Italy Women vs Iceland Women

Italy Women
62.1%
Draw
17.2%
Iceland Women
20.7%
58
rhs 2.0
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