We said: Birmingham City Women 0-2 Manchester City Women
Not only have Birmingham lost their last five games in all competitions, but they have not managed to score a goal either in that time which is why Man City should be confident about keeping a clean sheet on Sunday.
After a long three-week break from league action, Man City will be keen to back up their 5-0 win over Aston Villa with another victory against West Midlands opponents to build some momentum.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 91.52%. A draw had a probability of 6.6% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 1.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.47%) and 0-4 (12.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.05%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 1-0 (0.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.