Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 89.89%. A draw had a probability of 7.3% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 2.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 4-0 (11.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.47%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 0-1 (1.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
