Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Ladies win with a probability of 62.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 16.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton Ladies win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton Ladies would win this match.