Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Women win with a probability of 96.81%. A draw had a probability of 2.9% and a win for Costa Rica Women had a probability of 0.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 17.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (17.04%) and 2-0 (13.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.79%), while for a Costa Rica Women win it was 0-1 (0.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 17.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Spain Women in this match.
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