MX23RW : Friday, December 27 19:55:27| >> :60:107:107:
Sweden national football team
Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Jul 29, 2023 at 8.30am UK
Westpac Stadium

Sweden Women
5 - 0
Italy Women

Ilestedt (39', 50'), Rolfo (44'), Blackstenius (45+1'), Blomqvist (90+5')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's World Cup clash between Sweden Women and Italy Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Sweden Women 2-1 S. Africa Women
Sunday, July 23 at 6am in Women's World Cup
All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Italy Women 1-0 Argentina Women
Monday, July 24 at 7am in Women's World Cup

We said: Sweden Women 2-1 Italy Women

Although the Italians are enjoying a five-game unbeaten run, Sweden Women currently sit 13 places higher than their opponents in the FIFA World Rankings, and we think that they will utilise their extra quality to claim a narrow victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Italy Women had a probability of 15.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Italy Women win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sweden Women would win this match.

Result
Sweden WomenDrawItaly Women
63.29% (0.076999999999998 0.08) 21.41% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 15.3% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.64% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.5% (0.119 0.12)48.5% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.37% (0.11 0.11)70.63% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Sweden Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.31% (0.063000000000002 0.06)14.69% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.13% (0.123 0.12)42.86% (-0.122 -0.12)
Italy Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.84% (0.028999999999996 0.03)44.16% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.75% (0.023 0.02)80.25% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sweden Women 63.29%
    Italy Women 15.3%
    Draw 21.41%
Sweden WomenDrawItaly Women
1-0 @ 12.44% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 11.93%
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.63% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.24% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.66% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.99% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.4% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 63.29%
1-1 @ 10.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.49% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 21.41%
0-1 @ 5.3% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 15.3%

How you voted: Sweden Women vs Italy Women

Sweden Women
72.0%
Draw
16.0%
Italy Women
12.0%
50
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool17133140172342
2Chelsea18105338211735
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1810442419534
4Arsenal1796234161833
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle188553021929
6Bournemouth188552721629
7Manchester CityMan City188463026428
8Fulham187742623328
9Aston Villa188462629-328
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1872939261323
12Brentford177283232023
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham186572330-723
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd186482124-322
15Everton173861522-717
16Crystal Palace183871826-817
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1843112940-1115
18Leicester CityLeicester1835102240-1814
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1813141137-266


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!