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England national football team
Women's European Championship | Semi-Finals
Jul 26, 2022 at 8pm UK
Bramall Lane
Sweden national football team

England Women
4 - 0
Sweden Women

Mead (34'), Bronze (48'), Russo (68'), Kirby (76')
Stanway (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bjorn (73')

The Match

Match Report

England advance to the final of Women's Euro 2022 after teaching Sweden a footballing lesson in a stunning 4-0 semi-final victory at Bramall Lane.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Women's European Championship clash between England Women and Sweden Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: England Women 2-1 Spain Women
Wednesday, July 20 at 8pm in Women's European Championship
Last Six:
Last Game: Sweden Women 1-0 Belgium Women
Friday, July 22 at 8pm in Women's European Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Women win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Sweden Women had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a England Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Sweden Women win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England Women would win this match.

Result
England WomenDrawSweden Women
41.8% (0.0039999999999978 0) 23.34% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 34.85% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 63.57% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.02% (0.050000000000004 0.05)37.97% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.76% (0.053999999999995 0.05)60.23% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
England Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.39% (0.019000000000005 0.02)18.6% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.1% (0.036999999999999 0.04)49.89% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Sweden Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1% (0.022000000000006 0.02)21.89% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.85% (0.036999999999999 0.04)55.15% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    England Women 41.8%
    Sweden Women 34.85%
    Draw 23.34%
England WomenDrawSweden Women
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 6.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 41.8%
1-1 @ 10.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 4.07% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.89% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.34%
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 3.37% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 34.85%

How you voted: England Women vs Sweden Women

England Women
68.2%
Draw
11.7%
Sweden Women
20.1%
154
Head to Head
Jul 6, 2019 4pm
rhs 2.0
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11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
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