England Women4 - 0Sweden Women
The Match
Match Report
Preview
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, July 20 at 8pm in Women's European Championship
Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | England Women | 3 | 14 | 9 |
2 | Austria Women | 3 | 2 | 6 |
3 | Norway Women | 3 | -6 | 3 |
4 | Northern Ireland Women | 3 | -10 | 0 |
Friday, July 22 at 8pm in Women's European Championship
Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sweden Women | 3 | 6 | 7 |
2 | Netherlands Women | 3 | 4 | 7 |
3 | Switzerland Women | 3 | -4 | 1 |
4 | Portugal Women | 3 | -6 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Women win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Sweden Women had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a England Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Sweden Women win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England Women would win this match.
Result | ||
England Women | Draw | Sweden Women |
41.8% ( 0) | 23.34% ( -0.01) | 34.85% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 63.57% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.02% ( 0.05) | 37.97% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.76% ( 0.05) | 60.23% ( -0.06) |
England Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.39% ( 0.02) | 18.6% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.1% ( 0.04) | 49.89% ( -0.04) |
Sweden Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.1% ( 0.02) | 21.89% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.85% ( 0.04) | 55.15% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
England Women | Draw | Sweden Women |
2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 41.8% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( 0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 34.85% |
How you voted: England Women vs Sweden Women
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 42 |
2 | Arsenal | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | Chelsea | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 35 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 34 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 29 |
6 | Bournemouth | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 29 |
7 | Manchester CityMan City | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 28 |
8 | Fulham | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Aston Villa | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 28 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 26 |
11 | Brentford | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 24 |
12 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 23 |
13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Everton | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 17 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 15 |
18 | Leicester CityLeicester | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 14 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 33 | -17 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 37 | -26 | 6 |
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