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World Cup
Argentina national football team
World Cup | Group Stage
Nov 26, 2022 at 7pm UK
 
Mexico national football team

Argentina
2 - 0
Mexico

Messi (64'), Fernandez (87')
Montiel (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Araujo (22'), Gutierrez (50'), Herrera (66'), Alvarado (89')

The Match

Match Report

Argentina give their World Cup last-16 hopes a huge boost with a 2-0 victory over Mexico in their second match in Group C.

Team News

Argentina head coach Lionel Scaloni makes five changes to his starting lineup for this evening's crucial World Cup 2022 Group C clash against Mexico.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup clash between Argentina and Mexico, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Mexico could line up for Saturday's crucial World Cup clash with Group C rivals Argentina.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: Argentina 1-2 Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, November 22 at 10am in World Cup

Mexico

All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Poland
Tuesday, November 22 at 4pm in World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 45.49%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Mexico had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Mexico win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
ArgentinaDrawMexico
45.49% (-0.244 -0.24) 27.41% (0.103 0.1) 27.1% (0.145 0.15)
Both teams to score 46.56% (-0.18 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.59% (-0.27999999999999 -0.28)58.41% (0.28299999999999 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.99% (-0.218 -0.22)79.01% (0.22199999999999 0.22)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (-0.248 -0.25)25.63% (0.253 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.48% (-0.338 -0.34)60.52% (0.342 0.34)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.61% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)37.39% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.83% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)74.17% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Argentina 45.48%
    Mexico 27.1%
    Draw 27.41%
ArgentinaDrawMexico
1-0 @ 13.04% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.88% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.03% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 45.48%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.58% (0.103 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 9.43% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.31% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.64% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 27.1%

How you voted: Argentina vs Mexico

Argentina
77.2%
Draw
10.0%
Mexico
12.8%
1495
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2019 3am
Argentina
4-0
Mexico
> Preview
Nov 21, 2018 12am
Argentina
2-0
Mexico
Icardi (2'), Dybala (87')
Ascacibar (35'), Lamela (45'), Kannemann (71')

Gallardo (62'), Rodriguez (74')
Nov 17, 2018 12am
Argentina
2-0
Mexico
Funes Mori (44'), Brizuela (83' og.)
Correa (24')

Fabian (19')
Sep 9, 2015 3am
Mexico
2-2
Argentina
Hernandez (19' pen.), Herrera (70')
Marquez (42'), Hernandez (66')
Aguero (85'), Messi (89')
Otamendi (30'), Roncaglia (90')
> Match Report
Build-up
Argentina's Lisandro Martinez in action with Saudi Arabia's Feras Al-Brikan on November 22, 2022
Argentina to start Lisandro Martinez, Julian Alvarez against Mexico?
Lisandro Martinez and Julian Alvarez are reportedly in line to start their first game for Argentina at the 2022 World Cup in Saturday's Group C contest against Mexico.
Nov 26, 01:52
 Mexico's Guillermo Ochoa celebrates after saving a penalty shot from Poland's Robert Lewandowski pictured on November 22, 2022
World Cup 2022: Reasons for Mexico to be confident of beating Argentina
Ahead of Saturday's meeting between Argentina and Mexico, Sports Mole looks at three reasons why Mexico will be confident of claiming a victory.
Nov 25, 23:50
 Argentina's Lionel Messi pictured on November 22, 2022
World Cup 2022: Argentina vs. Mexico head-to-head record
Ahead of Saturday's World Cup clash between Argentina and Mexico, Sports Mole looks at the head-to-head record between the two sides.
Nov 25, 22:58
 Lionel Messi warms up for Argentina on November 22, 2022
World Cup 2022: Reasons for Argentina to be confident of beating Mexico
Ahead of Saturday's World Cup game between Argentina and Mexico, Sports Mole looks at the reasons why Argentina will be confident of securing a win.
Nov 25, 21:17
 Argentina players pose for a team group photo before the match on June 1, 2022
Argentina vs. Mexico: How do both squads compare ahead of World Cup clash?
Ahead of the World Cup clash between Argentina and Mexico, Sports Mole takes a look at both squads to see how they stack up.
Nov 25, 19:26
 Argentina's Lionel Messi pictured on November 22, 2022
Argentina boss Lionel Scaloni: 'Lionel Messi is fit but we could make changes'
Argentina head coach Lionel Scaloni insists that star forward Lionel Messi "is fine" and fit to face Mexico in their crucial World Cup 2022 Group C clash on Saturday.
Nov 25, 14:32
 Mexico's Guillermo Ochoa pictured during training on November 21, 2022
How Mexico could line up against Argentina
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Mexico could line up for Saturday's crucial World Cup clash with Group C rivals Argentina.
Nov 24, 21:36
 Argentina's Lionel Messi looks dejected after Saudi Arabia score their first goal on November 22, 2022
How Argentina could line up against Mexico
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Saturday's crucial World Cup clash with Group C rivals Mexico.
Nov 24, 21:08
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Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!