World Cup

World Cup | Group Stage

Nov 22, 2022 at 10am UK

Argentina
1 - 2
Saudi Arabia

Messi (10' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Al-Shehri (48'), Al-Dawsari (53')
Al-Malki (67'), Albulayhi (75'), Al-Dawsari (79'), Abdul Hamid (82'), Al Abid (88'), Al-Owais (90+2')

Saudi Arabia's Yasser Al-Shahrani undergoes successful facial surgery after Argentina win

Saudi Arabia confirm that defender Yasser Al-Shahrani has undergone successful surgery after sustaining a nasty facial injury in Tuesday's 2-1 World Cup win over Argentina.

Nov 24, 14:35

Argentina's Lionel Messi pictured on November 22, 2022

Argentina's Lionel Messi: 'There are no excuses for Saudi Arabia defeat'

Argentina star Lionel Messi admits that there are "no excuses" for their shock 2-1 defeat against Saudi Arabia in their opening Group C match at the 2022 World Cup

Nov 22, 14:04

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions

Last Game: UAE 0-5 Argentina
Wednesday, November 16 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	0	0	0
2	Mexico	0	0	0
3	Poland	0	0	0
4	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0

Saudi Arabia

All competitions

Last Game: Croatia 0-1 Saudi Arabia
Wednesday, November 16 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	0	0	0
2	Mexico	0	0	0
3	Poland	0	0	0
4	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 14.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.58%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.15%), while for a Saudi Arabia win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Argentina	Draw	Saudi Arabia
59.86% ( -0.42)	25.2% ( 0.27)	14.93% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 37.04% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.55% (

-0.59)

62.44% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.94% (

-0.43)

82.06% (

0.43)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79% (

-0.4)

21% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.23% (

-0.64)

53.77% (

0.64)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.89% (

-0.13)

53.11% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.28% (

-0.08)

86.72% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Argentina 59.86%

Saudi Arabia 14.93%

Draw 25.2%

Argentina	Draw	Saudi Arabia
1-0 @ 17.4% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 13.58% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.82% Total : 59.86%	0-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.24) 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.32% Total : 25.2%	0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.16% Total : 14.93%