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Brazil national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2021 at 12.30am UK
 
Colombia national football team

Brazil
1 - 0
Colombia

Paqueta (72')
Fred (34'), Neymar (74'), Casemiro (84'), Junior (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mojica (23'), Barrios (29'), Cuadrado (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Brazil and Colombia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Brazil could line up for Thursday's World Cup qualifying clash with Colombia in Sao Paulo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 61.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 13.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.36%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.34%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brazil in this match.

Result
BrazilDrawColombia
61.94%24.64%13.42%
Both teams to score 35.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.1%62.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.6%82.4%
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63%20.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.22%52.77%
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.3%55.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.7%88.3%
Score Analysis
    Brazil 61.94%
    Colombia 13.42%
    Draw 24.63%
BrazilDrawColombia
1-0 @ 18.05%
2-0 @ 14.36%
2-1 @ 8.41%
3-0 @ 7.62%
3-1 @ 4.46%
4-0 @ 3.03%
4-1 @ 1.77%
3-2 @ 1.3%
5-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 61.94%
0-0 @ 11.34%
1-1 @ 10.56%
2-2 @ 2.46%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 6.64%
1-2 @ 3.09%
0-2 @ 1.94%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 13.42%

How you voted: Brazil vs Colombia

Brazil
77.0%
Draw
9.8%
Colombia
13.1%
122
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
Colombia
0-0
Brazil
Lerma (48'), Borre (63')
Jun 24, 2021 1am
Sep 7, 2019 1.30am
International Friendlies
Brazil
2-2
Colombia
Sep 5, 2017 9.30pm
Group Stage
Colombia
1-1
Brazil
Falcao (56')
Willian (45')
Jan 26, 2017 1am
International Friendlies
Brazil
1-0
Colombia
Dudu (47')
Geromel (34'), Lucas (49'), Caio (91')

Aguilar (33')
rhs 2.0
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