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Estonia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
Belarus national football team

Estonia
2 - 0
Belarus

Sorga (58'), Zenjov (90+3')
Anier (52'), Paskotsi (59'), Kreida (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lisakovich (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Estonia and Belarus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estonia win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Belarus had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Belarus win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estonia would win this match.

Result
EstoniaDrawBelarus
39.14%24.13%36.73%
Both teams to score 60.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.44%41.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.05%63.95%
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66%21.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.7%54.3%
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45%22.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.87%56.13%
Score Analysis
    Estonia 39.14%
    Belarus 36.73%
    Draw 24.12%
EstoniaDrawBelarus
2-1 @ 8.55%
1-0 @ 7.43%
2-0 @ 5.74%
3-1 @ 4.4%
3-2 @ 3.28%
3-0 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 1.7%
4-2 @ 1.27%
4-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 39.14%
1-1 @ 11.06%
2-2 @ 6.37%
0-0 @ 4.81%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.12%
1-2 @ 8.25%
0-1 @ 7.17%
0-2 @ 5.34%
1-3 @ 4.09%
2-3 @ 3.16%
0-3 @ 2.65%
1-4 @ 1.53%
2-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 36.73%

How you voted: Estonia vs Belarus

Estonia
54.9%
Draw
21.8%
Belarus
23.2%
142
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2021 5pm
Group Stage
Belarus
4-2
Estonia
Lisakovich (45' pen., 84'), Kendysh (64'), Savitskiy (81')
Laptev (4'), Kendysh (18'), Signevich (89')
Anier (31', 55')
Kuusk (50'), Alliku (59'), Oigus (63'), Anier (85'), Purg (89')
Oigus (77')
Oct 10, 2019 5pm
Group Stage
Belarus
0-0
Estonia
Palitsevich (41')
Liivak (82')
Sep 6, 2019 5pm
Group Stage
Estonia
1-2
Belarus
Sorga (54')
Naumov (48'), Skavysh (92')
Naumov (65'), Bakhar (66')
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