World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Estonia0 - 1Wales
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Estonia win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Wales in this match.
| Result | ||
| Estonia | Draw | Wales |
| 32.21% | 25.26% | 42.52% |
| Both teams to score 55.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.29% | 47.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.1% | 69.9% |
| Estonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.94% | 28.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.28% | 63.72% |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.63% | 22.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.13% | 55.87% |
| Score Analysis |
Estonia 32.21%
Wales 42.52%
Draw 25.26%
| Estonia | Draw | Wales |
| 1-0 @ 7.98% 2-1 @ 7.59% 2-0 @ 5.07% 3-1 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.21% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.28% 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 9.4% 1-2 @ 8.94% 0-2 @ 7.04% 1-3 @ 4.46% 0-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 1.67% 0-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.28% Total : 42.52% |
How you voted: Estonia vs Wales
Estonia
9.9%Draw
14.2%Wales
75.9%141
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2021 7.45pm
