World Cup | Group Stage
Nov 22, 2022 at 7pm UK
France4 - 1Australia
The Match
Match Report
Olivier Giroud equals Thierry Henry's record of 51 France goals as the World Cup holders come back from a goal down to beat Australia 4-1 in their opening Group D match.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup clash between France and Australia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Australia could line up for Tuesday's World Cup 2022 Group D opener with France.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Denmark 2-0 France
Sunday, September 25 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Sunday, September 25 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Denmark | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Australia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 49.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Australia had a probability of 23.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for an Australia win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.
| Result | ||
| France | Draw | Australia |
49.39% ( 0.33) | 26.8% ( 0.06) | 23.81% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 45.52% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
