World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Fourth Round

Jun 7, 2022 at 7pm UK

UAE
1 - 2
Australia

Caio (57')
Mabkhout (34')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Irvine (53'), Hrustic (84')
Hrustic (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between United Arab Emirates and Australia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

United Arab Emirates

Last Game: UAE 1-2 Australia
Tuesday, June 7 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Last Six:

Last Game: UAE 1-2 Australia
Tuesday, June 7 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Australia vs. New Zealand
Sunday, September 25 at 4am in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	3	2	7
2	Denmark	3	1	5
3	Peru	3	0	3
4	Australia	3	-3	1

We said: United Arab Emirates 1-2 Australia

While we predict a tight encounter in Doha, Australia boast the stronger of the two squads, and we see them triumphing on Tuesday. The Socceroos have shown themselves to be a force in Asian qualification when on form, and they have the quality to advance to the final stage with a hard-fought win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Australia had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Australia win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Australia in this match.

Result
United Arab Emirates	Draw	Australia
37.62% ( 0)	25.13% ( 0.01)	37.25% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 57.29% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.74% (

-0.03)

46.26% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.44% (

-0.03)

68.55% (

0.02)

United Arab Emirates Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.79% (

-0.01)

24.21% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.45% (

-0.02)

58.55% (

0.02)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.59% (

-0.02)

24.41% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.17% (

-0.03)

58.83% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

United Arab Emirates 37.62%

Australia 37.25%

Draw 25.12%

United Arab Emirates	Draw	Australia
2-1 @ 8.38% 1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1% 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 37.62%	1-1 @ 11.81% 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.12%	1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.88% 1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 37.25%