Australia have far more to build towards in the coming months, and in their final match preparations ahead of the World Cup, Arnold will be keen to see a strong showing from his Socceroos side who should have enough to triumph over their rivals again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Australia had a probability of 38.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.46%) and 2-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Australia win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
New Zealand	Draw	Australia
38.58% ( -0.12)	23.35% ( 0.07)	38.07% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 63.99% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.39% (

-0.38)

37.61% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.15% (

-0.41)

59.85% (

0.4)

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.11% (

-0.22)

19.89% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.99% (

-0.36)

52.01% (

0.35)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.87% (

-0.14)

20.13% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.61% (

-0.23)

52.39% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

New Zealand 38.58%

Australia 38.07%

Draw 23.35%

New Zealand	Draw	Australia
2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 38.58%	1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.35%	1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 38.07%