International Friendly
Nov 17, 2022 at 1.40pm UK
BMO Field
Japan1 - 2Canada
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bahrain 2-2 Canada
Friday, November 11 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
Friday, November 11 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Croatia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Morocco | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Belgium | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Canada | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Canada 0-1 Japan
The minor injury to Davies seems to have served as a warning call to Herdman to take it easy and rest his star wing-back ahead of the World Cup. Regardless of how long the top players for either side feature in this match, we are leaning towards the Samurai Blue, who should be able to control the game's pace in the midfield while being a formidable defensive unit to break down. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Canada had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Canada win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Japan | Draw | Canada |
47.47% ( -0.17) | 25.48% ( 0.03) | 27.04% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 52.13% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
