Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Belize had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Belize win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haiti would win this match.