World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 6, 2024 at 10pm UK
Vale Farm Stadium
Haiti2 - 1St Lucia
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Haiti and Saint Lucia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Haiti 2-3 Jamaica
Monday, October 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Monday, October 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: St Lucia 1-2 Sint Maarten
Sunday, November 19 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Sunday, November 19 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Saint Lucia had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Saint Lucia win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Haiti in this match.
| Result | ||
| Haiti | Draw | Saint Lucia |
39.99% ( -0.44) | 24.04% ( -0.05) | 35.96% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 61.16% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.79% ( 0.32) | 41.2% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.4% ( 0.33) | 63.6% ( -0.33) |
| Haiti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.22% ( -0.07) | 20.78% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.57% ( -0.11) | 53.42% ( 0.1) |
| Saint Lucia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.21% ( 0.41) | 22.79% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.51% ( 0.61) | 56.49% ( -0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
Haiti 39.99%
Saint Lucia 35.96%
Draw 24.04%
| Haiti | Draw | Saint Lucia |
| 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.83% Total : 39.99% | 1-1 @ 11% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.04% | 1-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.34% Total : 35.96% |
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2021 11pm
First Round
St Lucia
P-P
Haiti
