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Saint Lucia national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Sep 11, 2023 at 12am UK
 
Saint Kitts and Nevis national football team

St Lucia
2 - 0
Saint Kitts

President (49'), Stanislas (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mitchum (35'), Lewis (59'), Rogers (90+3'), Rogers (90+2')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Saint Lucia and Saint Kitts and Nevis.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Lucia

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Sint Maarten 1-5 St Lucia
Thursday, September 7 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Saint Kitts and Nevis

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Saint Kitts 1-2 Guadeloupe
Friday, September 8 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Lucia would win this match.

Result
Saint LuciaDrawSaint Kitts and Nevis
45.08% (-0.266 -0.27) 24.71% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 30.2% (0.206 0.21)
Both teams to score 56.74% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.89% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)46.11% (0.171 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.59% (-0.165 -0.16)68.41% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Saint Lucia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (-0.18900000000001 -0.19)20.53% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.96% (-0.3 -0.3)53.03% (0.298 0.3)
Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.4% (0.051000000000002 0.05)28.6% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.6% (0.064999999999998 0.06)64.39% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Saint Lucia 45.08%
    Saint Kitts and Nevis 30.2%
    Draw 24.71%
Saint LuciaDrawSaint Kitts and Nevis
1-0 @ 9.3% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.36% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.88% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 45.08%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.87% (0.043 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.71%
0-1 @ 7.35% (0.064 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.6% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.04% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.41%
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 30.2%

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