CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jun 30, 2023 at 3am UK
Vale Farm Stadium
Haiti1 - 3Mexico
Form, Standings, Stats
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Haiti 2-1 Qatar
Sunday, June 25 at 11pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Sunday, June 25 at 11pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mexico | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Haiti | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Qatar | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Honduras | 1 | -4 | 0 |
We said: Haiti 1-2 Mexico
The Haitians showed great attacking quality and looked relatively cohesive despite introducing several newcomers to the lineup in their opening fixture. However, Mexico seem to be in much higher spirits under new management, have a great track record against Haiti and have shown the ability to come through in these group-stage encounters, all of that to say we are giving them a slight edge on Wednesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Haiti had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.35%) and 1-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Haiti win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haiti | Draw | Mexico |
19.46% ( 0.37) | 25.42% ( 0.11) | 55.13% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 43.99% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.41% ( 0.03) | 57.59% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.64% ( 0.03) | 78.36% ( -0.02) |
| Haiti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.64% ( 0.45) | 44.36% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.58% ( 0.36) | 80.42% ( -0.36) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.06% ( -0.18) | 20.94% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.33% ( -0.28) | 53.67% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
Haiti 19.46%
Mexico 55.12%
Draw 25.41%
| Haiti | Draw | Mexico |
| 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.73% Total : 19.46% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.57% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 14.52% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 11.35% ( -0.14)1-2 @ 9.23% 0-3 @ 5.92% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.14% Total : 55.12% |
How you voted: Haiti vs Mexico
Haiti
26.5%Draw
10.2%Mexico
63.3%49
Head to Head
Jul 3, 2019 3am
